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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.30+5.64vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+9.78vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+3.37vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.34vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.45+5.20vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.77+2.87vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.50+3.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.25-1.39vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.02vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.25+1.17vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.41-0.51vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.35-1.05vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.15-5.43vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.76-5.18vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01-2.87vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.17vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.51-2.95vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.96-5.50vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-3.62vs Predicted
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20George Washington University-0.49-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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11.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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6.37Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.2Old Dominion University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.87George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.34Old Dominion University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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11.17Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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10.49George Washington University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.95George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.82George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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10.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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14.05Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.5Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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15.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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18.97George Washington University-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| William Logue | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alec Chicoine | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Connor Bayless | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marley Mais | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Soenke Jordan | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Bennett | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack Marshall | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 5.6% |
| Carly Broussard | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 1.6% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 14.1% | 27.1% | 9.9% |
| Connor West | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 76.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.