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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.26+9.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.25+4.23vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+6.21vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.80+3.95vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17+2.57vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.19-0.37vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.71+1.35vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.16+3.84vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.40vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18+1.18vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.18+0.46vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.36-2.11vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.52-3.40vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.31-3.51vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.85-5.60vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.93-3.72vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.96-8.66vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.29College of Charleston1.264.6%1st Place
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6.23Yale University2.2511.5%1st Place
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9.21Tulane University1.735.2%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University1.807.0%1st Place
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7.57Harvard University2.177.2%1st Place
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5.63Stanford University2.1913.9%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College1.716.6%1st Place
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11.84University of Pennsylvania1.162.6%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.9%1st Place
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11.18Northeastern University1.182.7%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Naval Academy1.183.5%1st Place
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9.89Boston College1.364.2%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University1.524.5%1st Place
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10.49Roger Williams University1.314.5%1st Place
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9.4Brown University1.855.3%1st Place
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12.28Tufts University0.932.1%1st Place
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8.34Cornell University1.966.0%1st Place
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12.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.631.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Alfortish | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Emily Doble | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% |
| Ava Farley | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Marina Conde | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 16.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Sabrina Starck | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.