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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+6.42vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+6.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+3.92vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.18vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.82+4.27vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.86+3.54vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.23+0.91vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.71+1.72vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-1.25vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.48-3.20vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.90-1.65vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-1.41vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.77vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98-1.31vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.20-0.40vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-8.92vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.92Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.18Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.27Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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7.91Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.35Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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12.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
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14.6Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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7.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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11.88Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Briana Provancha | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Killian Corbishley | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 17.3% |
| Amanda Tooker | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 49.6% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Erica Lush | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.