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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.30+8.86vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.16+8.47vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+4.22vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.77+3.75vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.30+0.91vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.50+2.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.25-1.03vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+0.07vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.01+1.81vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.41-0.79vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.71vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.06vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.76-1.15vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.75-1.86vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.45-5.94vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.51-3.05vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.35-7.41vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.15-3.68vs Predicted
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19George Washington University-0.49-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.47Georgetown University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.75George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.85Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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8.07George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.010.0%1st Place
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9.21George Washington University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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11.85Georgetown University1.760.0%1st Place
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12.14Georgetown University1.750.0%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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12.95Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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14.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.150.0%1st Place
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17.77George Washington University-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Mazzolini | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Noah Kelleher | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Connor Bayless | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Gloria Kevliciute | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Soenke Jordan | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Brill | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Preston Tso | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 2.4% |
| Victoria Davis | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 2.8% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Bennett | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Hunter Cutting | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 21.3% | 11.9% |
| Connor West | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 11.4% | 71.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.