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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+8.19vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+5.98vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98+9.50vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+6.62vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+0.99vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+1.12vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.90+2.14vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.86+1.12vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-1.89vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-3.01vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.67vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-4.43vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.71-2.93vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.29-6.18vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.21-3.31vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.20-1.23vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.23-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.98Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.99Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.12Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.14Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island2.860.1%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.82Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.69Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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14.77Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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8.01Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 20.7% | 16.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kelly Crane | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Emily Billing | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Erica Lush | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.9% |
| Amanda Tooker | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 49.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.