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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.96+7.34vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19+3.62vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.85+6.49vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.25+2.30vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+4.15vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.71+2.23vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.16+3.91vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.80-1.02vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.52-0.38vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18+0.03vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.17-4.49vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.18-1.64vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.93-1.55vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.31-4.37vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.36-6.05vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-4.25vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.26-7.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Cornell University1.967.4%1st Place
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5.62Stanford University2.1912.5%1st Place
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9.49Brown University1.855.4%1st Place
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6.3Yale University2.2511.2%1st Place
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9.15Tulane University1.735.7%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College1.717.5%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.3%1st Place
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11.91University of Pennsylvania1.162.9%1st Place
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7.98Georgetown University1.806.6%1st Place
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9.62Old Dominion University1.524.7%1st Place
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11.03Northeastern University1.183.1%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.177.1%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Naval Academy1.183.6%1st Place
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12.45Tufts University0.932.5%1st Place
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10.63Roger Williams University1.313.2%1st Place
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9.95Boston College1.364.0%1st Place
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12.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.632.4%1st Place
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10.01College of Charleston1.263.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| bella casaretto | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% |
| Emily Doble | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Marina Conde | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ava Farley | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 16.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Sabrina Starck | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 20.8% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.