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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+4.91vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.23+5.78vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+4.01vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+2.98vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.90+3.95vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+1.86vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.86+2.33vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.57vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-0.68vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-0.70vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.48-3.88vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98+0.53vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-2.29vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.20+0.72vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.21-3.22vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.71-5.95vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-9.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.78Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.95Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.86Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.3Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.12Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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12.53St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
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10.71Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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14.72Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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11.78Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Molly McKinney | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kelly Crane | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Emily Billing | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Sky Adams | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 20.4% | 16.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.0% |
| Amanda Tooker | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 49.3% |
| Erica Lush | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 11.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.