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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+6.32vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19+3.67vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.26+7.20vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.85+5.50vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.80+2.83vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.31+4.75vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.16+4.70vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.25-1.66vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.23vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93+2.15vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.96-2.73vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.73-2.93vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.18-1.38vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.71-5.85vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-1.97vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-4.81vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.52-7.54vs Predicted
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18Boston College1.36-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Harvard University2.179.2%1st Place
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5.67Stanford University2.1912.8%1st Place
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10.2College of Charleston1.264.7%1st Place
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9.5Brown University1.854.3%1st Place
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7.83Georgetown University1.807.0%1st Place
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10.75Roger Williams University1.313.9%1st Place
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11.7University of Pennsylvania1.162.6%1st Place
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6.34Yale University2.2511.3%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.3%1st Place
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12.15Tufts University0.932.9%1st Place
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8.27Cornell University1.966.2%1st Place
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9.07Tulane University1.735.3%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Naval Academy1.182.9%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College1.716.5%1st Place
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13.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.632.3%1st Place
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11.19Northeastern University1.182.8%1st Place
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9.46Old Dominion University1.525.8%1st Place
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9.98Boston College1.364.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Emily Doble | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 15.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% |
| bella casaretto | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Sabrina Starck | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 21.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% |
| Marina Conde | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.