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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.25+5.13vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.73+7.21vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.80+4.99vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.19+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.16+7.01vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.26+4.12vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.17+0.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.36+1.84vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.71-0.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.18+1.38vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63+1.88vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.52-2.34vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-0.84vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.85-4.55vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.96-6.80vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-4.88vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-8.34vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.31-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Yale University2.2511.8%1st Place
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9.21Tulane University1.735.3%1st Place
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7.99Georgetown University1.806.0%1st Place
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5.73Stanford University2.1913.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Pennsylvania1.162.8%1st Place
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10.12College of Charleston1.264.5%1st Place
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7.47Harvard University2.178.0%1st Place
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9.84Boston College1.364.2%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College1.716.8%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Naval Academy1.182.9%1st Place
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12.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.632.0%1st Place
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9.66Old Dominion University1.524.0%1st Place
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12.16Tufts University0.932.9%1st Place
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9.45Brown University1.854.8%1st Place
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8.2Cornell University1.966.9%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University1.183.8%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.4%1st Place
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10.7Roger Williams University1.314.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Emily Doble | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| bella casaretto | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% |
| Sabrina Starck | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 20.9% |
| Marina Conde | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.