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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+5.84vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+4.81vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+4.65vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+4.11vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+0.99vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.23+2.01vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98+5.59vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.53+2.34vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+0.66vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.94vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.86-1.50vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.48-5.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.71-2.88vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-6.34vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.90-5.84vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.20-1.27vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.65Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.99Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.01Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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12.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.0%1st Place
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10.34Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.66Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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9.16Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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14.73Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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11.84Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Crane | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Billing | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 16.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Sky Adams | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Amanda Tooker | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 15.4% | 48.5% |
| Erica Lush | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.