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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.63vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.27+0.78vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52-0.48vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia-0.73-0.23vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound-1.31-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63University of Washington1.530.6%1st Place
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2.78University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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2.52Western Washington University0.520.2%1st Place
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3.77University of British Columbia-0.730.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Puget Sound-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 57.1% | 27.3% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Richard Minielly | 14.7% | 24.9% | 33.5% | 21.1% | 5.8% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 20.7% | 31.4% | 26.6% | 18.3% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Futcher | 4.5% | 10.3% | 18.9% | 35.9% | 30.4% |
| Arthur Jenkins | 3.0% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 21.1% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.