← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.19+4.61vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.25+4.12vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.85+6.74vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University1.73+5.19vs Predicted
-
5Boston College1.36+4.93vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.16+5.77vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University1.80+0.74vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University0.93+4.26vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.96-0.87vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College1.71-1.93vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University0.49+2.61vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy1.18-0.54vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.34vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston1.81-6.03vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.17-7.60vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University1.52-6.50vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.18-5.88vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.61Stanford University2.1913.7%1st Place
-
6.12Yale University2.2511.6%1st Place
-
9.74Brown University1.854.7%1st Place
-
9.19Tulane University1.735.3%1st Place
-
9.93Boston College1.364.8%1st Place
-
11.77University of Pennsylvania1.162.9%1st Place
-
7.74Georgetown University1.806.2%1st Place
-
12.26Tufts University0.932.5%1st Place
-
8.13Cornell University1.965.9%1st Place
-
8.07Dartmouth College1.717.6%1st Place
-
13.61Roger Williams University0.491.6%1st Place
-
11.46U. S. Naval Academy1.182.4%1st Place
-
8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.7%1st Place
-
7.97College of Charleston1.817.3%1st Place
-
7.4Harvard University2.177.9%1st Place
-
9.5Old Dominion University1.525.1%1st Place
-
11.12Northeastern University1.182.9%1st Place
-
12.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.631.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% |
| Emily Doble | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| bella casaretto | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 25.3% |
| Ava Farley | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Marina Conde | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% |
| Sabrina Starck | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.