Race 1A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sam White 9.4% 8.9% 11.6% 10.7% 9.9% 10.0% 11.5% 8.3% 8.6% 5.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Stephan VerHulst 3.9% 3.5% 5.8% 5.1% 6.0% 6.3% 7.4% 11.8% 11.2% 12.4% 13.8% 9.2% 3.6%
Hector Guzman 16.3% 18.3% 15.0% 12.6% 10.6% 10.3% 6.6% 5.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Dreugh Phillips 10.6% 10.4% 10.4% 10.3% 11.2% 11.4% 8.5% 10.1% 7.4% 4.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Juan Lejarraga 5.3% 4.4% 6.4% 7.8% 6.1% 8.7% 8.3% 9.8% 9.8% 13.9% 9.6% 7.6% 2.3%
Sinead McManus 5.4% 5.3% 5.1% 5.6% 9.1% 7.1% 11.0% 9.8% 12.4% 10.2% 9.8% 7.4% 1.8%
Charles Lomax 18.1% 16.8% 12.3% 13.3% 13.3% 7.8% 7.8% 5.0% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
William Huerth 3.7% 4.9% 5.2% 6.1% 6.1% 8.2% 8.2% 9.0% 13.1% 13.1% 12.1% 7.7% 2.6%
Skye Shepherd 3.2% 3.2% 2.8% 4.0% 4.3% 5.5% 6.4% 7.1% 9.4% 12.8% 16.0% 18.2% 7.1%
Peter Hogan 15.5% 14.7% 14.4% 13.2% 10.0% 9.4% 7.8% 5.7% 4.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Thomas Balk 6.5% 8.3% 8.7% 7.7% 9.8% 10.9% 10.1% 11.1% 9.1% 7.9% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1%
Tyler Rochon 1.4% 1.0% 1.7% 2.5% 2.2% 3.4% 4.6% 4.7% 5.8% 9.1% 14.1% 26.4% 23.1%
Halle Buescher 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.0% 1.8% 2.3% 3.1% 3.8% 9.4% 17.0% 57.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.