Race 2A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hector Guzman 18.1% 15.3% 13.9% 14.5% 11.3% 9.1% 6.9% 5.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Charles Lomax 18.4% 15.3% 15.0% 13.4% 10.9% 8.6% 7.5% 4.8% 2.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 8.6% 10.2% 11.6% 10.7% 10.9% 10.6% 10.6% 9.7% 6.2% 6.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Sam White 9.3% 10.2% 9.2% 12.6% 10.6% 10.3% 9.5% 8.4% 8.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Skye Shepherd 2.9% 3.4% 3.4% 3.5% 6.8% 4.8% 6.8% 7.5% 10.1% 12.1% 15.5% 16.7% 6.5%
Peter Hogan 14.7% 17.0% 13.8% 11.1% 11.9% 9.4% 7.2% 6.3% 4.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Balk 7.6% 7.6% 9.5% 6.5% 8.9% 8.6% 9.9% 10.3% 11.5% 9.1% 6.4% 3.5% 0.6%
Stephan VerHulst 3.4% 5.2% 3.8% 5.4% 4.8% 7.5% 9.4% 7.8% 12.3% 13.6% 14.0% 9.4% 3.4%
Sinead McManus 5.3% 5.0% 4.6% 6.6% 7.1% 8.6% 9.2% 9.9% 12.4% 10.8% 11.5% 6.8% 2.2%
William Huerth 5.0% 4.7% 5.2% 5.6% 6.0% 9.3% 8.1% 10.5% 10.9% 11.5% 10.8% 8.3% 4.1%
Juan Lejarraga 5.0% 4.7% 6.9% 6.7% 7.0% 8.3% 9.5% 12.2% 10.3% 10.1% 10.6% 6.1% 2.6%
Tyler Rochon 1.0% 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.5% 3.3% 3.7% 4.9% 5.7% 9.3% 13.0% 27.1% 23.6%
Halle Buescher 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 4.3% 8.1% 19.4% 56.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.