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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.25+5.36vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.96+6.49vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+4.91vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.19+1.45vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+3.19vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+3.09vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52+2.45vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.36+1.90vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.85+0.58vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-1.44vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.17-3.65vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.36vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-0.30vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.18-2.23vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.80-7.36vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.93-3.55vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.18-6.05vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.49-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Yale University2.259.5%1st Place
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8.49Cornell University1.965.9%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston1.816.9%1st Place
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5.45Stanford University2.1913.7%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College1.716.7%1st Place
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9.09Tulane University1.735.6%1st Place
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9.45Old Dominion University1.524.9%1st Place
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9.9Boston College1.365.3%1st Place
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9.58Brown University1.854.6%1st Place
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8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.8%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University2.178.3%1st Place
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11.64University of Pennsylvania1.162.8%1st Place
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12.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.632.1%1st Place
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11.77U. S. Naval Academy1.182.9%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University1.807.6%1st Place
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12.45Tufts University0.932.3%1st Place
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10.95Northeastern University1.183.3%1st Place
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13.52Roger Williams University0.491.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Marina Conde | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| Sabrina Starck | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 17.0% |
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% |
| Emily Doble | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.