Race 3A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hector Guzman 17.9% 16.5% 14.7% 13.3% 11.7% 8.0% 7.9% 4.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Charles Lomax 17.8% 16.4% 16.1% 13.1% 9.5% 9.8% 7.4% 3.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Peter Hogan 14.6% 14.1% 15.4% 10.9% 11.8% 11.0% 7.3% 6.8% 4.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Sam White 9.4% 9.6% 10.1% 12.0% 11.2% 8.7% 10.4% 7.9% 8.5% 7.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.6%
Skye Shepherd 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 7.8% 7.8% 9.1% 11.1% 16.0% 17.2% 7.1%
Juan Lejarraga 5.4% 4.3% 5.1% 8.0% 7.3% 8.1% 7.5% 11.1% 12.4% 10.1% 11.0% 7.8% 1.9%
William Huerth 5.1% 4.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.5% 5.9% 7.2% 10.7% 11.5% 12.0% 13.2% 8.0% 2.7%
Dreugh Phillips 10.0% 11.4% 9.6% 10.2% 10.2% 12.4% 11.8% 8.2% 6.9% 5.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Thomas Balk 6.5% 7.7% 7.1% 6.6% 10.6% 10.0% 8.8% 11.4% 9.8% 9.2% 6.9% 4.3% 1.1%
Stephan VerHulst 4.4% 4.2% 4.9% 5.7% 5.3% 6.5% 10.0% 10.0% 10.8% 11.5% 11.9% 10.6% 4.2%
Tyler Rochon 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 2.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.8% 5.1% 6.8% 10.7% 13.9% 26.0% 20.0%
Sinead McManus 4.2% 5.6% 4.7% 6.7% 6.7% 9.1% 8.8% 10.1% 11.4% 11.8% 11.8% 7.0% 2.1%
Halle Buescher 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 5.3% 7.1% 15.7% 60.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.