Race 4A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Hogan 15.4% 15.0% 12.5% 13.7% 12.2% 7.6% 8.9% 7.4% 3.4% 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Hector Guzman 17.3% 16.0% 17.0% 12.7% 11.8% 8.0% 6.7% 4.9% 3.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Stephan VerHulst 2.9% 4.0% 4.3% 6.0% 5.6% 8.1% 7.8% 9.5% 11.2% 13.6% 12.1% 11.0% 3.9%
Charles Lomax 17.8% 15.9% 14.2% 14.1% 11.0% 9.3% 8.5% 4.9% 2.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2%
William Huerth 5.5% 4.2% 5.3% 6.1% 6.9% 7.3% 7.8% 9.6% 11.5% 13.4% 11.0% 8.3% 3.1%
Skye Shepherd 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 4.5% 4.7% 6.2% 6.4% 7.6% 10.1% 13.4% 15.4% 16.5% 6.1%
Sam White 11.8% 10.0% 9.4% 10.4% 9.3% 13.5% 9.3% 8.1% 7.9% 4.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Sinead McManus 4.9% 5.8% 4.8% 6.1% 8.8% 7.0% 9.4% 9.9% 13.1% 10.7% 11.7% 6.1% 1.7%
Juan Lejarraga 4.6% 4.9% 5.5% 6.3% 6.0% 8.1% 8.5% 10.9% 12.3% 10.7% 11.2% 7.7% 3.3%
Tyler Rochon 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 2.4% 2.1% 2.2% 4.2% 5.3% 6.5% 8.9% 14.6% 26.1% 21.9%
Thomas Balk 6.8% 8.9% 8.1% 7.4% 8.9% 10.8% 10.3% 11.2% 8.5% 8.8% 5.7% 3.8% 0.8%
Dreugh Phillips 8.1% 10.0% 12.3% 9.0% 11.3% 11.0% 10.7% 8.7% 7.5% 6.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Halle Buescher 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 0.9% 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 5.1% 8.2% 16.8% 58.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.