Race 6A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sam White 10.6% 8.6% 9.9% 11.5% 10.0% 10.6% 11.0% 8.4% 8.3% 6.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.2%
Peter Hogan 13.3% 15.0% 14.6% 12.8% 12.0% 10.2% 7.9% 6.0% 4.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Hector Guzman 17.7% 17.2% 15.0% 11.8% 11.3% 9.9% 6.5% 5.2% 3.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2%
Charles Lomax 17.6% 16.7% 14.4% 13.1% 10.9% 9.9% 6.6% 5.4% 2.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2%
William Huerth 4.9% 4.4% 5.6% 5.8% 6.4% 9.1% 6.9% 9.2% 13.0% 10.8% 11.5% 9.2% 3.2%
Stephan VerHulst 4.7% 3.6% 4.9% 5.2% 6.2% 7.5% 7.3% 10.3% 10.8% 14.1% 10.9% 11.2% 3.3%
Juan Lejarraga 5.8% 5.0% 5.8% 7.6% 6.7% 6.0% 8.6% 11.6% 10.5% 12.1% 11.1% 6.9% 2.3%
Thomas Balk 6.7% 7.9% 7.2% 8.1% 8.1% 8.9% 12.4% 11.2% 10.0% 8.6% 6.6% 4.0% 0.3%
Tyler Rochon 1.2% 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.2% 3.0% 4.0% 6.0% 9.9% 14.1% 28.1% 21.2%
Sinead McManus 5.8% 5.5% 4.4% 6.7% 8.1% 7.9% 10.8% 10.0% 10.1% 10.4% 11.0% 6.8% 2.5%
Skye Shepherd 2.2% 3.1% 4.1% 4.2% 4.8% 6.3% 6.8% 8.0% 10.5% 13.4% 16.3% 12.5% 7.8%
Dreugh Phillips 8.9% 10.2% 11.1% 10.4% 11.1% 9.4% 10.9% 8.5% 7.7% 5.8% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
Halle Buescher 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.3% 2.2% 2.9% 3.6% 8.7% 17.5% 58.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.