Race 7A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hector Guzman 18.1% 16.0% 14.1% 14.7% 10.8% 9.0% 7.3% 4.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1%
Juan Lejarraga 5.0% 4.2% 5.1% 6.5% 7.1% 6.1% 10.1% 11.6% 11.7% 10.6% 12.7% 7.3% 2.0%
Thomas Balk 5.3% 7.1% 7.9% 9.0% 9.2% 9.9% 9.5% 12.8% 9.8% 8.4% 7.1% 2.9% 1.1%
Sam White 10.0% 8.6% 10.9% 11.1% 10.5% 11.0% 10.2% 8.4% 7.8% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
Peter Hogan 15.1% 15.9% 13.7% 10.6% 11.8% 10.3% 8.9% 5.6% 4.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Charles Lomax 17.9% 18.3% 14.0% 12.5% 12.3% 8.6% 5.4% 5.4% 2.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Skye Shepherd 3.4% 3.3% 4.0% 4.6% 5.5% 4.3% 5.7% 7.6% 10.2% 12.8% 16.3% 16.1% 6.2%
William Huerth 3.9% 5.0% 4.9% 5.9% 6.3% 8.3% 8.7% 10.1% 11.7% 12.2% 11.9% 8.8% 2.3%
Stephan VerHulst 4.5% 4.3% 3.8% 5.2% 5.5% 6.7% 7.7% 10.5% 11.6% 12.9% 12.8% 11.0% 3.5%
Sinead McManus 5.8% 4.6% 6.0% 5.5% 8.1% 9.6% 9.6% 9.4% 9.8% 11.4% 10.3% 7.4% 2.5%
Dreugh Phillips 9.4% 10.7% 12.8% 11.8% 9.7% 11.5% 10.7% 7.6% 7.4% 4.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Halle Buescher 0.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.9% 6.0% 7.1% 15.9% 58.8%
Tyler Rochon 1.3% 0.9% 2.3% 1.9% 1.7% 3.2% 4.7% 4.1% 7.5% 8.8% 12.9% 27.8% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.