Race 8A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Lomax 18.4% 15.6% 14.8% 13.4% 11.3% 8.3% 7.2% 4.8% 3.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam White 9.6% 10.2% 10.5% 9.4% 13.5% 8.8% 9.7% 8.7% 8.4% 5.8% 3.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Dreugh Phillips 9.3% 10.5% 12.3% 8.5% 11.4% 9.8% 11.2% 9.1% 7.6% 5.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Sinead McManus 4.8% 4.9% 5.8% 6.9% 7.9% 9.0% 7.9% 10.9% 10.3% 11.2% 11.6% 7.2% 1.6%
Hector Guzman 19.3% 16.1% 14.8% 13.2% 10.9% 9.8% 6.0% 3.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Balk 7.2% 7.9% 6.9% 9.1% 7.5% 10.2% 11.2% 10.6% 9.8% 8.5% 6.5% 3.4% 1.2%
Peter Hogan 15.5% 15.4% 12.7% 13.9% 9.9% 10.7% 7.4% 6.1% 4.3% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Stephan VerHulst 4.0% 5.3% 4.8% 4.5% 6.4% 6.9% 8.4% 9.7% 11.7% 13.2% 12.5% 8.4% 4.2%
Juan Lejarraga 4.7% 5.0% 5.2% 6.3% 5.8% 7.8% 10.8% 9.5% 10.7% 12.0% 11.4% 8.2% 2.6%
Halle Buescher 0.7% 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 4.8% 7.5% 17.0% 56.5%
Skye Shepherd 2.1% 3.0% 3.7% 5.0% 5.6% 5.8% 5.9% 9.7% 11.1% 12.3% 16.0% 13.5% 6.3%
Tyler Rochon 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 1.8% 3.8% 4.5% 4.8% 5.4% 8.1% 13.9% 27.5% 23.4%
William Huerth 3.5% 4.0% 5.2% 6.5% 6.2% 7.1% 7.8% 10.1% 10.9% 13.9% 10.2% 10.8% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.