Race 9A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Lomax 17.8% 16.4% 14.5% 13.1% 10.4% 9.2% 8.0% 4.6% 3.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Balk 6.6% 7.0% 7.6% 9.2% 8.8% 10.4% 9.5% 9.8% 11.1% 8.6% 7.1% 3.4% 0.9%
Peter Hogan 14.0% 14.6% 15.1% 13.0% 10.4% 8.3% 10.0% 6.5% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Hector Guzman 17.5% 17.0% 14.2% 13.5% 10.8% 8.7% 8.0% 5.6% 2.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Sam White 10.2% 10.3% 11.5% 9.4% 10.8% 10.7% 8.9% 9.5% 7.4% 6.6% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Stephan VerHulst 4.6% 3.6% 4.7% 5.0% 6.0% 7.8% 8.1% 8.6% 11.8% 13.1% 12.5% 11.1% 3.1%
Dreugh Phillips 11.1% 11.6% 9.4% 9.4% 11.8% 9.5% 9.7% 9.8% 8.0% 4.9% 3.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Skye Shepherd 2.4% 3.8% 3.8% 3.5% 4.7% 6.1% 5.4% 8.6% 9.6% 12.2% 17.5% 15.2% 7.2%
Halle Buescher 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.0% 1.3% 2.0% 3.6% 4.7% 6.2% 16.5% 57.9%
Sinead McManus 6.2% 4.3% 5.5% 6.0% 8.9% 8.7% 9.4% 8.8% 10.3% 12.5% 9.8% 7.3% 2.3%
William Huerth 3.8% 5.0% 6.0% 7.8% 6.2% 7.9% 8.7% 9.9% 12.2% 12.1% 10.4% 7.3% 2.7%
Tyler Rochon 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 1.9% 3.4% 4.2% 5.7% 6.2% 7.2% 14.8% 26.9% 23.1%
Juan Lejarraga 4.1% 4.5% 4.8% 5.9% 7.6% 7.3% 8.8% 10.6% 9.9% 13.1% 12.1% 9.0% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.