Race 10A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hector Guzman 17.7% 16.5% 15.1% 12.4% 10.6% 10.3% 7.6% 4.8% 2.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sam White 8.6% 10.4% 10.2% 10.7% 13.1% 8.8% 9.3% 10.5% 7.2% 6.2% 2.8% 2.0% 0.2%
Stephan VerHulst 3.3% 3.4% 3.9% 6.2% 6.0% 6.8% 10.0% 7.8% 13.1% 13.2% 12.6% 9.7% 4.0%
Peter Hogan 14.6% 15.7% 12.7% 12.2% 10.8% 10.3% 9.3% 6.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Dreugh Phillips 11.1% 9.5% 13.0% 11.4% 9.2% 10.2% 10.2% 9.2% 6.2% 5.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1%
William Huerth 4.7% 4.5% 4.8% 5.7% 6.9% 8.2% 7.3% 10.5% 11.0% 11.9% 12.6% 9.1% 2.8%
Thomas Balk 8.1% 7.8% 8.1% 7.3% 7.9% 11.0% 9.7% 11.3% 9.0% 9.3% 6.8% 2.7% 1.0%
Charles Lomax 17.7% 16.0% 15.0% 13.3% 12.0% 10.3% 6.6% 3.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Tyler Rochon 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 2.2% 3.3% 2.8% 3.9% 3.6% 6.5% 8.6% 13.6% 28.9% 21.0%
Skye Shepherd 3.3% 3.4% 2.7% 4.0% 4.4% 5.1% 7.4% 7.9% 9.5% 11.8% 16.9% 15.1% 8.5%
Juan Lejarraga 4.1% 5.2% 6.6% 7.9% 7.0% 6.8% 9.7% 9.9% 12.6% 11.0% 10.8% 6.0% 2.4%
Sinead McManus 5.1% 5.2% 4.4% 5.6% 7.8% 8.4% 7.1% 12.1% 11.5% 11.6% 12.1% 6.7% 2.4%
Halle Buescher 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 3.1% 5.3% 6.5% 18.1% 57.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.