Race 11A

david-lee-arnoff

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Lomax 17.1% 15.8% 15.2% 14.7% 10.0% 10.0% 6.6% 4.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Thomas Balk 6.9% 6.6% 7.3% 8.5% 9.8% 10.1% 11.2% 9.2% 10.4% 8.3% 7.1% 3.5% 1.1%
Sinead McManus 4.5% 4.2% 5.3% 6.8% 8.6% 8.9% 8.3% 10.0% 11.9% 14.0% 8.5% 6.9% 2.1%
Peter Hogan 14.9% 15.5% 12.7% 12.7% 11.2% 9.0% 8.9% 7.4% 3.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Sam White 9.8% 10.5% 11.2% 9.7% 10.6% 9.8% 12.1% 9.2% 6.9% 5.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.4%
Juan Lejarraga 4.9% 5.0% 6.1% 6.0% 6.5% 8.7% 8.1% 11.1% 11.6% 10.4% 11.5% 8.3% 1.8%
Dreugh Phillips 11.8% 10.2% 10.0% 11.1% 10.1% 11.6% 8.8% 9.3% 8.2% 4.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Halle Buescher 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 4.1% 8.7% 17.6% 55.6%
Skye Shepherd 2.7% 3.6% 3.1% 4.1% 4.6% 4.7% 6.5% 8.2% 8.7% 12.2% 16.2% 17.6% 7.8%
Hector Guzman 18.9% 17.0% 14.9% 12.1% 11.3% 8.0% 5.8% 5.4% 3.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
William Huerth 4.0% 5.5% 6.1% 5.6% 7.5% 7.4% 9.2% 9.7% 11.8% 11.7% 11.4% 7.6% 2.5%
Tyler Rochon 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 4.4% 4.1% 5.9% 10.0% 13.5% 25.0% 24.8%
Stephan VerHulst 3.1% 3.8% 5.2% 5.1% 5.6% 7.2% 7.8% 9.3% 10.7% 13.7% 14.0% 10.9% 3.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.