Race 12A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Hogan 15.2% 14.6% 13.2% 11.8% 11.9% 11.1% 7.6% 5.6% 5.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Balk 6.7% 6.5% 7.7% 9.6% 7.6% 10.5% 9.8% 10.0% 11.9% 8.6% 6.9% 3.0% 1.2%
Sam White 9.1% 10.2% 10.3% 9.3% 11.2% 10.5% 10.5% 10.9% 7.3% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Skye Shepherd 2.1% 3.0% 3.0% 4.4% 5.5% 6.3% 6.0% 7.3% 9.7% 11.9% 17.5% 16.2% 7.1%
Stephan VerHulst 4.8% 4.1% 3.6% 6.9% 7.3% 5.8% 7.6% 9.7% 11.1% 12.0% 13.1% 10.6% 3.4%
Dreugh Phillips 10.7% 10.7% 11.1% 10.7% 9.7% 11.1% 9.9% 8.5% 7.1% 6.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Juan Lejarraga 4.7% 6.0% 6.4% 6.4% 6.3% 6.5% 9.6% 10.2% 10.2% 14.3% 10.5% 7.3% 1.6%
Hector Guzman 18.6% 17.5% 14.2% 10.6% 13.6% 9.9% 6.3% 4.9% 2.1% 1.2% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Lomax 16.5% 16.7% 15.0% 14.3% 10.1% 9.1% 7.5% 4.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
William Huerth 4.9% 3.7% 6.3% 5.3% 6.1% 6.9% 9.9% 9.6% 10.6% 12.1% 11.9% 9.3% 3.4%
Sinead McManus 4.7% 5.2% 6.9% 7.1% 7.6% 7.4% 10.2% 11.5% 11.4% 10.8% 9.2% 5.8% 2.2%
Tyler Rochon 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.6% 2.1% 3.2% 3.7% 5.1% 6.9% 8.1% 13.4% 26.7% 23.9%
Halle Buescher 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.9% 3.1% 4.8% 8.1% 18.5% 56.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.