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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+8.47vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+9.33vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+4.92vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.33+3.43vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.17+3.08vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+2.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.25+1.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.16+0.01vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.53+6.31vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.65+0.61vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.14vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.69-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.62-1.94vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.93-4.81vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.84-5.33vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.31-3.89vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.56-6.28vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.90-4.05vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University3.61-8.31vs Predicted
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20University of Washington2.13-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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11.33University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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7.43Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.14Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.06Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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15.31Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.61Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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10.86SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.19College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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10.72Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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13.95Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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10.69Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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16.74University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Will Stocke | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| John Stokes | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| William Brown | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Martin Sterling | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 21.9% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Harry Scott | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| David Hernandez | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 12.6% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.