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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.36+1.06vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+0.09vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.22+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.72-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.78-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of Hawaii3.360.4%1st Place
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2.09Stanford University3.270.4%1st Place
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3.28University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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3.82University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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3.74University of California at San Diego1.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 39.2% | 30.6% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 36.4% | 31.3% | 21.0% | 9.0% | 2.3% |
| Ashley Hobson | 11.8% | 15.7% | 25.0% | 27.7% | 19.8% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.5% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 26.5% | 38.8% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 7.1% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 27.5% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.