← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University1.73+7.97vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.19+3.50vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University1.80+4.77vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.96+4.32vs Predicted
-
5Boston College1.36+5.27vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.55vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College1.71+1.15vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.16+3.76vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.93+3.31vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.85-0.45vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston1.81-3.12vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.17-4.67vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University0.49+0.47vs Predicted
-
14Yale University2.25-7.68vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy1.18-3.54vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University1.52-6.63vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.18-5.99vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.97Tulane University1.736.2%1st Place
-
5.5Stanford University2.1913.3%1st Place
-
7.77Georgetown University1.807.2%1st Place
-
8.32Cornell University1.965.2%1st Place
-
10.27Boston College1.363.8%1st Place
-
8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.6%1st Place
-
8.15Dartmouth College1.715.8%1st Place
-
11.76University of Pennsylvania1.163.1%1st Place
-
12.31Tufts University0.931.9%1st Place
-
9.55Brown University1.854.9%1st Place
-
7.88College of Charleston1.817.3%1st Place
-
7.33Harvard University2.178.6%1st Place
-
13.47Roger Williams University0.491.8%1st Place
-
6.32Yale University2.2510.5%1st Place
-
11.46U. S. Naval Academy1.183.2%1st Place
-
9.37Old Dominion University1.525.2%1st Place
-
11.01Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
-
13.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.631.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Doble | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| bella casaretto | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 24.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% |
| Marina Conde | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Sabrina Starck | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.