Race 13A

david-lee-arnoff

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stephan VerHulst 3.9% 3.9% 3.6% 5.4% 6.8% 8.3% 7.8% 7.8% 12.1% 13.4% 14.0% 10.4% 2.6%
Charles Lomax 17.1% 16.0% 17.1% 13.6% 10.1% 7.7% 7.9% 4.8% 2.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Hector Guzman 17.1% 18.1% 13.2% 12.2% 14.1% 8.0% 6.3% 5.8% 2.9% 1.8% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 4.1% 4.2% 6.3% 6.4% 7.7% 7.2% 10.6% 9.7% 9.7% 13.8% 11.0% 6.9% 2.4%
Peter Hogan 16.4% 14.9% 13.0% 12.5% 10.7% 9.8% 9.2% 6.3% 3.6% 1.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Thomas Balk 7.1% 7.0% 7.3% 8.4% 9.3% 9.9% 10.6% 11.4% 10.1% 7.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.0%
William Huerth 5.8% 4.3% 4.7% 5.9% 6.7% 7.1% 7.6% 10.7% 12.3% 11.5% 12.8% 7.7% 2.9%
Skye Shepherd 2.4% 3.9% 3.5% 4.4% 3.5% 6.0% 6.4% 8.9% 10.3% 10.9% 16.6% 16.6% 6.6%
Dreugh Phillips 10.7% 9.2% 10.9% 9.9% 10.6% 11.3% 10.1% 8.6% 7.4% 5.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%
Tyler Rochon 1.5% 1.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.2% 3.1% 4.1% 5.1% 6.6% 9.9% 12.4% 25.7% 22.8%
Sam White 9.5% 11.0% 12.0% 11.3% 9.3% 11.4% 10.8% 8.7% 7.1% 5.4% 1.7% 1.6% 0.2%
Sinead McManus 3.8% 5.5% 5.2% 6.5% 7.8% 8.9% 7.1% 9.5% 12.3% 12.7% 10.7% 8.0% 2.0%
Halle Buescher 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 8.3% 16.9% 58.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.