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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.69vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+5.55vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.77+2.60vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43+0.06vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.49-1.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-0.07vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.45-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-0.31+3.45vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.03+2.02vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.79-2.13vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.37-4.61vs Predicted
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12Cornell University-0.64-0.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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7.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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5.6George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.06Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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3.78Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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6.33Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Rochester-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.02SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Wisconsin1.790.0%1st Place
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6.39Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.91Cornell University-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.42U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 19.3% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 21.1% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 17.4% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 18.5% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 20.2% | 33.3% | 30.7% |
| Maura King | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 8.9% | 25.6% | 31.2% | 20.8% |
| Tom Groskopf | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 20.5% | 13.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Luke Andersen | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Patricia Corujo | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 15.1% | 27.0% | 47.4% |
| Maxwell Brill | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.