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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+4.01vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.68vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+3.54vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.49-1.15vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University3.43-2.03vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.77-1.54vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.45-1.75vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.37-2.47vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.31+1.48vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.030.00vs Predicted
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12Cornell University-0.64-0.06vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.79-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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3.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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7.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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3.85Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
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3.97Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.46George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.25Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.48University of Rochester-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.0SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
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11.94Cornell University-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Wisconsin1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 18.9% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 18.8% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 17.3% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 18.1% | 34.4% | 32.1% |
| Maura King | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 29.5% | 30.3% | 16.9% |
| Patricia Corujo | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 14.3% | 25.7% | 49.7% |
| Tom Groskopf | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 20.9% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.