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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.31vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.37+4.51vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.69vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+2.00vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.49-1.15vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+1.46vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43-3.02vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.79-0.18vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.45-2.61vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.77-4.54vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-0.31+0.44vs Predicted
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12Cornell University-0.64-0.05vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.03-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.51Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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3.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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3.85Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
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7.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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3.98Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.82University of Wisconsin1.790.0%1st Place
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6.39Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.46George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.44University of Rochester-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.95Cornell University-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.14SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Charles Miller | 18.8% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 19.5% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 17.4% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom Groskopf | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 22.9% | 34.7% | 26.6% |
| Patricia Corujo | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 13.5% | 24.3% | 51.0% |
| Maura King | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 28.6% | 30.8% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.