Race 4B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Miller 20.4% 17.7% 15.8% 12.1% 11.8% 9.1% 6.3% 4.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Maxwell Brill 9.4% 10.6% 11.1% 10.7% 10.9% 10.8% 13.3% 9.2% 7.7% 4.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Ryan Hunter 6.8% 7.2% 8.1% 8.8% 10.8% 10.1% 11.9% 14.2% 10.7% 8.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Luke Andersen 4.8% 7.0% 6.5% 8.2% 8.6% 9.2% 11.6% 13.7% 12.9% 11.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Tom Groskopf 4.0% 3.5% 3.6% 4.3% 7.4% 6.3% 8.6% 9.9% 14.8% 21.5% 11.4% 4.2% 0.5%
Kyle Mergenthaler 6.6% 7.1% 7.8% 7.5% 9.1% 12.0% 11.2% 10.4% 12.4% 10.6% 4.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Audrey Morin 4.3% 4.6% 4.9% 5.9% 6.5% 8.0% 7.6% 11.7% 15.7% 18.7% 8.9% 2.7% 0.5%
Javier De urdanibia panos 18.3% 15.7% 16.0% 14.8% 12.4% 9.4% 6.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sean Kilcullen 0.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 4.8% 19.7% 31.3% 33.3%
Adam DiDomizio 9.6% 9.0% 8.5% 12.8% 10.7% 10.9% 9.2% 11.5% 8.6% 6.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Maura King 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 1.0% 1.3% 2.7% 2.3% 5.6% 8.5% 30.1% 29.3% 17.4%
Patricia Corujo 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 2.7% 13.9% 28.8% 48.2%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 14.9% 16.1% 16.2% 13.6% 10.0% 11.0% 8.1% 5.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.