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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.31vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.68vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+4.61vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.77+1.60vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.37+1.43vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University3.43-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.79+0.77vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-2.04vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.49-5.05vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.31+1.45vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.45-4.80vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.03-0.88vs Predicted
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13Cornell University-0.64-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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3.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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7.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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5.6George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.43Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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3.98Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.77University of Wisconsin1.790.0%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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3.95Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
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11.45University of Rochester-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.2Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.12SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
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11.94Cornell University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 20.3% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Morin | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 10.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 16.7% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom Groskopf | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 21.8% | 12.6% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hunter | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 17.9% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 20.3% | 33.8% | 30.6% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maura King | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 27.6% | 30.8% | 21.0% |
| Patricia Corujo | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 14.9% | 27.9% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.