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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+4.00vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University3.43+1.05vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+3.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.21vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.49-2.15vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.77-1.53vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.37-1.51vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.45-2.59vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.31+1.45vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.79-3.22vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.03-0.93vs Predicted
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13Cornell University-0.64-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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4.05Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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3.85Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
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5.47George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.49Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.41Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Rochester-0.310.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Wisconsin1.790.0%1st Place
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11.07SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
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11.92Cornell University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Miller | 19.4% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 16.3% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 10.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Brill | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 18.3% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 20.8% | 33.4% | 30.4% |
| Tom Groskopf | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Maura King | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 26.4% | 31.0% | 20.9% |
| Patricia Corujo | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 14.2% | 27.8% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.