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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.30vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.68vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+4.57vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49-0.10vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.45+1.25vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.37+0.49vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.77-1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.79-0.22vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University3.43-4.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-4.05vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.03-0.02vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-0.31-0.43vs Predicted
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13Cornell University-0.64-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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3.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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7.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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3.9Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
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6.25Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.49Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.51George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Wisconsin1.790.0%1st Place
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4.07Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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10.98SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
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11.57University of Rochester-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.94Cornell University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 18.2% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Morin | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 17.4% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tom Groskopf | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 12.4% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 15.6% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maura King | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 29.6% | 29.9% | 16.8% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 18.0% | 32.0% | 34.5% |
| Patricia Corujo | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 14.3% | 28.4% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.