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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.29vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.68vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.45+3.38vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+3.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.79+1.83vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.37-0.55vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.49-4.17vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.77-3.41vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University3.43-6.00vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.03-0.04vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-0.31-0.42vs Predicted
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13Cornell University-0.64-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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3.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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6.38Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Wisconsin1.790.0%1st Place
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6.45Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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3.83Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
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5.59George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.0Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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10.96SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Rochester-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.95Cornell University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 19.5% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Morin | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hunter | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tom Groskopf | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Luke Andersen | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 17.8% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 18.2% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maura King | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 29.8% | 29.9% | 16.7% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 19.7% | 32.4% | 34.4% |
| Patricia Corujo | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 14.0% | 28.4% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.