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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.32vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.45+4.31vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.69vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43+0.01vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.77+0.42vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.95+1.49vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.37-0.58vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-2.07vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.49-5.09vs Predicted
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10Cornell University-0.64+1.84vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-0.31+0.47vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.79-3.97vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.03-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.31Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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3.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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4.01Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.42George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.950.0%1st Place
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6.42Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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3.91Boston University3.490.2%1st Place
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11.84Cornell University-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Rochester-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Wisconsin1.790.0%1st Place
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11.15SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Brill | 9.7% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 19.0% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 16.1% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Morin | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Luke Andersen | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hunter | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 17.8% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patricia Corujo | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 12.2% | 26.4% | 48.4% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 7.6% | 22.2% | 34.1% | 27.7% |
| Tom Groskopf | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Maura King | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 27.1% | 31.3% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.