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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+8.10vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.96+6.39vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.80+4.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+8.21vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.19+0.58vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.85+3.64vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+3.99vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.25-1.76vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.43vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.36-0.10vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.81-3.18vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.71-3.80vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.17-5.66vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.16-2.13vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.49-1.48vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.45vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63-4.25vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.52-8.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.1Tulane University1.734.9%1st Place
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8.39Cornell University1.966.7%1st Place
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7.83Georgetown University1.807.1%1st Place
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12.21Tufts University0.932.3%1st Place
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5.58Stanford University2.1912.8%1st Place
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9.64Brown University1.854.8%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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6.24Yale University2.2510.0%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.9%1st Place
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9.9Boston College1.363.9%1st Place
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7.82College of Charleston1.817.2%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College1.716.8%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University2.178.8%1st Place
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11.87University of Pennsylvania1.162.8%1st Place
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13.52Roger Williams University0.491.9%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Naval Academy1.182.9%1st Place
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12.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.632.1%1st Place
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9.5Old Dominion University1.525.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Emily Doble | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| bella casaretto | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 25.4% |
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% |
| Sabrina Starck | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 17.2% |
| Marina Conde | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.