Race 10B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryan Hunter 6.7% 6.2% 8.5% 10.5% 10.0% 9.8% 12.3% 11.4% 10.2% 9.0% 4.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Charles Miller 18.3% 17.4% 17.0% 14.1% 10.4% 8.3% 7.1% 3.5% 2.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Javier De urdanibia panos 17.3% 15.4% 17.3% 12.0% 11.5% 11.0% 6.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Kyle Mergenthaler 5.6% 6.9% 6.4% 8.4% 10.1% 9.4% 10.9% 12.1% 11.9% 10.7% 6.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Adam DiDomizio 8.4% 10.3% 9.0% 11.1% 10.3% 9.2% 11.6% 11.5% 8.8% 6.2% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Audrey Morin 4.2% 3.9% 4.6% 5.1% 5.8% 8.8% 8.7% 11.0% 14.1% 16.5% 12.4% 4.5% 0.4%
Maxwell Brill 10.4% 10.6% 10.6% 10.5% 10.1% 11.1% 11.2% 10.1% 7.7% 5.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
William Sesack 1.5% 2.6% 1.9% 2.9% 3.2% 4.8% 4.1% 6.4% 10.6% 14.3% 29.7% 14.7% 3.3%
Luke Andersen 6.2% 6.0% 5.1% 7.1% 9.2% 10.3% 10.3% 11.9% 12.9% 10.8% 7.6% 2.3% 0.3%
Tom Groskopf 3.2% 4.0% 3.9% 4.1% 5.5% 7.1% 8.2% 10.0% 12.1% 17.1% 17.0% 6.5% 1.3%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 17.5% 16.4% 14.7% 13.4% 12.7% 8.9% 7.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Patricia Corujo 0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.9% 2.4% 7.8% 27.9% 56.0%
Sean Kilcullen 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 3.6% 8.9% 40.9% 38.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.