Race 11B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Miller 19.0% 17.9% 15.6% 12.9% 11.9% 8.3% 6.7% 4.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Hunter 6.7% 7.4% 8.5% 9.2% 9.6% 10.7% 10.8% 13.0% 11.1% 6.9% 4.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Javier De urdanibia panos 17.1% 15.7% 16.3% 13.8% 11.7% 8.2% 7.9% 5.2% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Kyle Mergenthaler 5.5% 6.6% 7.2% 8.6% 9.2% 9.8% 11.5% 11.4% 11.9% 10.8% 6.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Tom Groskopf 3.2% 3.7% 4.0% 4.3% 6.5% 6.6% 8.2% 10.1% 12.0% 17.5% 17.2% 5.7% 1.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 18.1% 15.1% 14.5% 14.6% 10.1% 10.3% 6.1% 6.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam DiDomizio 8.3% 10.6% 10.0% 8.9% 9.7% 12.3% 11.1% 10.0% 9.5% 6.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
William Sesack 1.4% 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.7% 5.9% 5.9% 10.1% 15.8% 28.8% 16.3% 2.6%
Audrey Morin 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.9% 6.1% 6.5% 8.7% 10.7% 14.5% 16.6% 14.4% 4.5% 0.8%
Luke Andersen 6.7% 5.7% 5.9% 8.2% 9.5% 9.9% 9.8% 11.4% 12.9% 11.0% 7.1% 1.5% 0.4%
Maxwell Brill 9.3% 10.3% 11.0% 10.9% 11.7% 13.2% 10.8% 9.1% 6.7% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Sean Kilcullen 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 4.4% 9.5% 37.3% 40.4%
Patricia Corujo 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 3.3% 6.0% 31.0% 54.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.