Race 12B

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Miller 19.5% 17.3% 15.1% 13.8% 11.1% 9.5% 5.5% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Hunter 6.2% 6.7% 9.3% 9.0% 10.9% 10.2% 11.3% 10.3% 11.8% 7.4% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Maxwell Brill 8.4% 10.3% 10.3% 11.8% 10.4% 11.4% 12.1% 9.6% 7.9% 4.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Javier De urdanibia panos 17.7% 16.2% 15.9% 12.3% 12.8% 8.3% 7.2% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 17.8% 16.0% 14.6% 13.7% 11.4% 9.8% 5.9% 5.3% 3.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Tom Groskopf 3.1% 4.1% 3.9% 4.3% 5.8% 7.6% 7.4% 9.1% 13.5% 18.5% 15.0% 7.1% 0.6%
Luke Andersen 6.2% 7.6% 7.2% 7.4% 6.6% 9.0% 12.2% 12.0% 10.6% 11.7% 7.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Kyle Mergenthaler 6.1% 7.8% 7.6% 7.1% 8.6% 9.5% 12.4% 12.6% 11.5% 10.1% 5.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Adam DiDomizio 8.3% 7.9% 9.7% 10.3% 11.0% 11.8% 10.1% 11.1% 9.2% 6.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Audrey Morin 4.7% 4.1% 3.3% 5.7% 7.4% 7.0% 8.4% 11.8% 11.9% 16.0% 14.9% 3.8% 1.0%
William Sesack 1.5% 1.3% 2.4% 3.9% 3.0% 4.4% 5.8% 5.6% 10.3% 14.8% 28.1% 14.8% 4.1%
Sean Kilcullen 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.7% 3.1% 3.2% 9.7% 39.0% 39.3%
Patricia Corujo 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.9% 2.5% 7.0% 30.0% 54.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.