Race 13B

david-lee-arnoff

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adam DiDomizio 7.9% 9.6% 8.9% 11.7% 10.1% 12.1% 10.1% 9.7% 10.3% 5.8% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Kyle Mergenthaler 6.2% 6.2% 8.0% 7.2% 9.8% 9.6% 11.8% 11.7% 10.9% 10.8% 6.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Javier De urdanibia panos 17.3% 15.4% 16.3% 12.2% 12.8% 10.0% 6.8% 5.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Andersen 4.8% 7.0% 5.7% 9.5% 8.3% 8.6% 10.6% 12.9% 11.0% 11.6% 8.1% 1.6% 0.3%
Ryan Hunter 7.5% 8.1% 8.6% 10.5% 8.7% 10.0% 10.6% 10.9% 10.8% 8.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Alfonso Garcia Bringas 18.0% 15.5% 14.6% 11.9% 13.0% 9.2% 7.4% 5.0% 3.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Miller 19.7% 18.2% 15.7% 13.0% 11.1% 7.6% 6.7% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Audrey Morin 3.5% 4.4% 3.9% 6.2% 5.2% 7.5% 10.5% 11.2% 13.0% 15.5% 14.1% 4.4% 0.6%
Maxwell Brill 9.5% 9.8% 10.3% 9.8% 11.4% 12.5% 11.0% 8.4% 8.6% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
William Sesack 2.0% 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 2.5% 4.5% 4.2% 6.7% 8.6% 15.3% 29.3% 15.2% 4.4%
Tom Groskopf 3.0% 2.9% 4.7% 5.0% 5.8% 6.9% 8.4% 10.8% 15.2% 16.1% 14.3% 5.9% 1.0%
Sean Kilcullen 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 4.2% 10.2% 38.8% 38.7%
Patricia Corujo 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.2% 6.6% 30.4% 54.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.