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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.80vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+7.96vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+3.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+6.00vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+0.27vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18+0.18vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.41vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-3.42vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-2.60vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-1.25vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.31+0.88vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.11-2.84vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-3.52vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.77-3.64vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.56-3.87vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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6.39Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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5.27College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.18Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.22George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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5.58Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.4Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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10.16Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.48Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.36Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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10.04Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.3% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 26.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
| Grace Howie | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 17.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.