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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.58+6.98vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+3.24vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+3.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+2.04vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14+4.76vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35-0.39vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.00vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11+1.79vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04+1.58vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.56+2.06vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.80vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-2.39vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.31+0.07vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.24vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-5.11vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.76-8.47vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.77-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.24College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.44Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.76Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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5.61Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.79Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.58Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.06University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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10.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.45Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Bakos | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Grace Howie | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 16.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 27.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Hana Zwick | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.