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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+4.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+7.81vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+2.98vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+6.33vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+3.77vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-1.66vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76-0.59vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58-0.61vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-3.71vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.80vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.38vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.11-2.86vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-3.89vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.56-2.92vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.31-3.01vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.77-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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5.98Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.33Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.34College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.41Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.39George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.29Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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10.14Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.11Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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12.99University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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11.36Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 14.7% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 18.7% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 24.7% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.