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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+4.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+4.03vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+4.19vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+1.79vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.47vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37-0.78vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.58vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58-0.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.60vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23-1.02vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04-1.10vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.11-2.52vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.31-0.64vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.77-3.07vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.14-5.55vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.56-4.45vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania-1.71-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Boston University3.350.2%1st Place
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6.03Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.19Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.79Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.22College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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7.65George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.48Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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10.93Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.45Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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16.79University of Pennsylvania-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 15.7% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Grace Howie | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 0.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 0.2% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 23.9% | 3.9% |
| Hana Zwick | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 1.4% |
| Kelly Hanlon | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 92.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.