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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+4.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+4.06vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+2.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.46vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.50vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58+1.92vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.56+4.45vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76-1.00vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+0.23vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.77+0.68vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.34vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.18-6.34vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-3.05vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-4.39vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.11-5.46vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.31-3.64vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania-1.71-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Boston University3.350.2%1st Place
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6.06Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.1College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.92George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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7.0Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.68Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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5.66Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.95Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.54Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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16.79University of Pennsylvania-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 15.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 1.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 0.6% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 0.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 0.3% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 26.6% | 1.9% |
| Kelly Hanlon | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 93.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.