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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+4.93vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+7.35vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+4.14vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.51vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+0.55vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35-0.66vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.56+3.25vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.20vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04-0.25vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-5.80vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-2.88vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.11-3.28vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.77-3.09vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-5.49vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.31-3.67vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania-1.71-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.35Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.14Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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5.55Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.34Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.81George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.75Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.2College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.72Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.91Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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16.79University of Pennsylvania-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 1.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 0.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 0.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 0.7% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 0.4% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 25.0% | 2.1% |
| Kelly Hanlon | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 93.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.