← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.35+3.90vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University2.58+5.44vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.05+2.95vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.76+2.99vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.37-0.19vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.14+3.29vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.04+2.48vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.96vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.18-3.33vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.83vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University2.11-1.68vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.23-3.26vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin1.56-1.79vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.47vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.15-2.77vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia0.14-1.33vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania-1.71-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.9Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.44George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
5.95Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.99Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
4.81College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
-
9.29Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
-
9.48Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
8.96U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
-
5.67Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.32Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
-
8.74Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
11.21University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
-
7.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
12.23Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
-
14.67University of Virginia0.140.0%1st Place
-
16.65University of Pennsylvania-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 15.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Green | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 50.5% | 11.2% |
| Kelly Hanlon | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 9.2% | 84.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.