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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+4.41vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+3.84vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+2.01vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+3.62vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.21vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+1.11vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.23+1.85vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.56+2.22vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11-0.88vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-5.95vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.89vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.63vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-4.71vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.15-2.76vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania-1.71+0.61vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.14-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.84Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.01Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.62George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.11Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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9.12Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.05College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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9.29Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.24Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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16.61University of Pennsylvania-1.710.0%1st Place
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14.66University of Virginia0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 8.4% | 0.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 15.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 20.6% | 16.7% | 2.1% |
| Kelly Hanlon | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 9.9% | 84.2% |
| Katherine Green | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 13.2% | 48.9% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.