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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+7.58vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.04+7.37vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+2.92vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+5.33vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35-0.07vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18-0.31vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.34vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76-1.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.34vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-2.58vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-5.93vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.15+0.25vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-3.74vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.56-2.79vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.11-5.82vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.14-1.34vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania-1.71-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.58Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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9.37Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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4.93Boston University3.350.2%1st Place
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5.69Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.8Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.42George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.07College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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12.25Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.26Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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9.18Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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14.66University of Virginia0.140.0%1st Place
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16.66University of Pennsylvania-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 15.1% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 21.7% | 17.0% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 0.7% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Green | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 14.9% | 47.8% | 11.6% |
| Kelly Hanlon | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 9.1% | 84.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.