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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.11+8.78vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.58+6.13vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+4.47vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.77+7.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.70vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18+0.11vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.23+2.58vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-2.62vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.81vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-3.67vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-0.87vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.37-6.62vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.31+0.10vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.23vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-4.72vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-5.88vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.56-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.78Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.13George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.47Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.39Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.11Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.38Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.33Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.13Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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5.38College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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13.1University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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10.28Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 27.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Grace Howie | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.