← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.14+8.73vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.76+5.44vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.23+6.56vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.05+2.48vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.11+4.83vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.35-0.46vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.18-1.08vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.58+0.06vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.82vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston3.37-4.70vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University2.14-0.87vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.40vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University2.04-2.54vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College1.77-2.45vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-4.98vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin1.56-3.79vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia1.31-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
-
7.44Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
9.56Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
6.48Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.83Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
-
5.54Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
5.92Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
8.06George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
8.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
5.3College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.13Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
-
9.6University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
-
10.46Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
11.55Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
-
10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
-
12.21University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
-
13.0University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica McJones | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.4% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Grace Howie | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.4% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 17.9% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.