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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+4.14vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+4.20vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+6.89vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.90vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+0.72vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35-0.56vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.80vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58-0.09vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-1.46vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04+0.05vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.77+0.24vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-2.64vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.11-3.00vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.56-1.99vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.22-5.57vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.14-6.14vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.14-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.2Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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7.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.72Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.91George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.54Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.05Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.24Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.0Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.86Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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15.51University of Virginia0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 14.9% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.2% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Grace Howie | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 19.6% | 8.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Katherine Green | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.