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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+5.17vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+5.32vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+6.76vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+1.40vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+0.73vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+4.04vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-1.80vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.25vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58-0.74vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11-0.20vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04-0.74vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.77-0.91vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-3.46vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.14+1.48vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-5.22vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.53vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.56-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.32Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.76Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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5.4Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.73Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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5.2College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.26George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.8Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.26Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.09Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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15.48University of Virginia0.140.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.0% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Grace Howie | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 3.2% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 5.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Green | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 65.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.